The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 15 fixture revealed, according to statistics
We were treated to full round of Premier League fixtures this midweek, and there was action aplenty across Tuesday and Wednesday.Manchester City and Liverpool had a great matchday with both teams picking up wins, while two of their closest challengers, Chelsea and Arsenal, dropped points.It’s been a good week for Pep Guardiola and Jurgen Klopp3
It’s been a good week for Pep Guardiola and Jurgen Klopp
The Blues suffered a shock defeat at Wolves to fall down to fourth, with Tottenham’s win over Southampton moving Mauricio Pochettino’s side into third.Arsenal could have overtaken Spurs if they picked up a victory against Manchester United, but the Gunners continued their historic struggles at Old Trafford with the final result a 2-2 draw. But do the results we got reflect what actually happened in the matches we witnessed?Find out below how every team performed compared to their expected goals in the 13th round ofPremier Leaguematches thanks to statistics from Understat.com…

What is expected goals?

  • Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
  • Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
  • The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
  • The xG valueof every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

Brighton vs Crystal Palace

Real result: 3-1xG result: 1.27-1.48

Bournemouth vs Huddersfield

Real result: 2-1xG result: 1.04-1.48

West Ham vs Cardiff

Real result: 3-1xG result: 1.57-1.59

Watford vs Manchester City

Real result: 1-2xG result: 1.67-2.52

Wolves vs Chelsea

Real result: 2-1xG result: 0.68-1.47Wolves overperformed their xG to claim a shock defeat of Chelsea3
Wolves overperformed their xG to claim a shock defeat of Chelsea

Fulham vs Leicester

Real result: 1-1xG result: 1.44-1.22

Burnley vs Liverpool

Real result: 1-3xG result: 1.06-2.46

Everton vs Newcastle

Real result: 1-1xG result: 2.11-1.38Everton really should have turned their draw with Newcastle into a win3
Everton really should have turned their draw with Newcastle into a win

Manchester United vs Arsenal

Real result: 2-2xG result: 1.33-1.83

Tottenham vs Southampton

Real result: 3-1xG result: 1.67-1.53

Manchester United and Man City go head-to-head on Sunday in a huge derby clash in the Premier League. It's a fixture which is notoriously unpredictable with the Red Devils beating their rivals at the end of last season to postpone the title celebrations of Pep Guardiola's men.

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